Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:27:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf73…5c42
crypto · 196 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$68 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$68 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$184
Realized+$68
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses193 / 1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)194 / 196
History coverage528d
Avg bet$141
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 194 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$3
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? No 100¢ 100¢ $182 $182 +$0 (+0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $181 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $183 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $183 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $182 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $181 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $181 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $181 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $180 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $180 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $179 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30? May 31 $179 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28? May 30 $178 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 29? May 27 $179 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27? Apr 28 $178 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24? Apr 26 $178 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 23? Apr 24 $178 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22? Apr 22 $177 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 21? Apr 21 $177 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 20? Apr 20 $177 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 18? Apr 19 $176 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 17? Apr 17 $176 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 16? Apr 16 $177 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 15? Apr 15 $180 −$3 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 13? Apr 14 $180 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 12? Apr 12 $179 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 11? Apr 11 $179 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 10? Apr 10 $179 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9? Apr 09 $179 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 8? Apr 08 $179 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 7? Apr 07 $178 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 6? Apr 07 $178 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 5? Apr 05 $178 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 3? Apr 04 $178 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 2? Apr 02 $177 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 1? Apr 01 $177 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 31? Mar 31 $177 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 30? Mar 30 $176 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 29? Mar 29 $176 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 28? Mar 28 $176 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 27? Mar 28 $176 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 26? Mar 26 $176 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 25? Mar 25 $175 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 24? Mar 24 $175 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 23? Mar 24 $175 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 22? Mar 23 $175 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 20? Mar 21 $175 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 18? Mar 19 $175 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 17? Mar 18 $174 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 16? Mar 17 $174 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 14? Mar 15 $174 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$61
tech 1% $0
economics 0% +$3
politics 0% +$4
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? BUY No 100¢ $182 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $181 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $183 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $183 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? BUY No 99¢ $182 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? BUY No 100¢ $181 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6? BUY No 100¢ $181 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $181 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $180 9d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2? BUY No 100¢ $180 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1? BUY No 99¢ $179 12d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30? BUY No 100¢ $179 13d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28? BUY No 100¢ $178 16d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 29? BUY No 100¢ $179 45d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27? BUY No 100¢ $178 47d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24? BUY No 100¢ $178 49d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 23? BUY No 100¢ $178 50d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22? BUY No 100¢ $177 51d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 21? BUY No 100¢ $177 52d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 20? BUY Yes 100¢ $177 54d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $176 55d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 17? BUY No 100¢ $176 56d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 16? BUY No 100¢ $177 57d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 15? BUY No 100¢ $177 59d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 59d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 59d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 59d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 59d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 13? BUY No 100¢ $180 60d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 13 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 50 +0.1% -9.4% 98% 0% -9.4%
all 194 +0.3% -9.2% 99% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 0% -9.3%
10% -17.9% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $183.90 · official $183.90 (match) · 404 history records