Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:26:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf73…0215
sports · 265 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$65,539 -38%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,127 · open +$360
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51,834
Realized+$7,127
Unrealized+$360
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses48 / 45
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Est. fees paid−$1,202
Open positions332
Markets (closed)93 / 265
History coverage1d
Avg bet$654
Trades / day3175.0
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 332 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,127
7 days+$7,127
14 days+$7,127
30 days+$7,127
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 52¢ 54¢ $1,312 $1,337 +$25 (+2%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 81¢ 81¢ $1,256 $1,258 +$2 (+0%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $1,188 $1,195 +$7 (+1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 74¢ $1,161 $1,169 +$8 (+1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 60¢ 60¢ $1,048 $1,056 +$9 (+1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? No 81¢ 81¢ $1,022 $1,029 +$6 (+1%)
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? No 73¢ 72¢ $944 $943 −$2 (-0%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 91¢ 91¢ $911 $915 +$4 (+0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 89¢ 90¢ $894 $896 +$2 (+0%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Under 34¢ 34¢ $895 $884 −$10 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 73¢ 74¢ $865 $870 +$6 (+1%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? No 76¢ 76¢ $823 $828 +$5 (+1%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) Paraguay 92¢ 92¢ $811 $816 +$4 (+1%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Yes 73¢ 74¢ $750 $755 +$5 (+1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $739 $740 +$1 (+0%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 77¢ 98¢ $578 $739 +$161 (+28%)
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 89¢ 90¢ $687 $691 +$4 (+1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 88¢ 88¢ $660 $664 +$4 (+1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 51¢ 52¢ $638 $644 +$6 (+1%)
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? No 79¢ 80¢ $626 $630 +$4 (+1%)
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? No 90¢ 90¢ $607 $610 +$4 (+1%)
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? No 72¢ 72¢ $585 $589 +$4 (+1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) Bo Nickal 73¢ 74¢ $561 $564 +$4 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 61¢ 62¢ $534 $539 +$4 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 54¢ $509 $514 +$5 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $12 +$5 +41%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $9 −$13 -139%
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $2 +$41 +2024%
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $6 +$5 +83%
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +64%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $1 +$17 +2491%
Will FC Utrecht vs. NAC Breda end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$65 -8516%
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$144 -24542%
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $0 +$99 +21070%
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $1 −$45 -5736%
Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 +$15 +3331%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $0 −$63 -13868%
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 +$78 +23540%
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 +$99 +54123%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Jun 12 $0 +$101 +29493%
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Independiente end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 −$39 -7904%
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-07? Jun 12 $1 −$93 -17168%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$116 -20376%
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 +$9 +2630%
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $0 +$23 +7112%
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 −$159 -32807%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5 Jun 12 $0 −$114 -31452%
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $0 −$294 -78417%
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $0 +$137 +59936%
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $0 −$49 -16686%
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $0 −$275 -68501%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $0 −$41 -12863%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 −$58 -20296%
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-08? Jun 12 $0 +$240 +149843%
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 +32%
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $0 $0 +49%
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 −$95 -68062%
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 +125%
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $0 −$18 -24645%
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-05-08? Jun 12 $1 +$73 +6308%
Will US Lecce vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -84%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $2 +$608 +32313%
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26? Jun 12 $0 −$21 -6856%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $46 +$133 +291%
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $106 +$335 +315%
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
PSV vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 −$2 -72%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $0 −$589 -186533%
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $7 −$6 -96%
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will AA Ponte Preta vs. Botafogo FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $8 −$122 -1620%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% +$5,375
other 44% +$2,296
crypto 0% +$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 53¢ $17 0m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $3 1m
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 18¢ $0 1m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $33 1m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $1 1m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $7 1m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 7¢ $1 1m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $1 2m
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 71¢ $3 2m
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5) BUY United States 98¢ $37 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $3 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $66 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $1 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $3 2m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 45¢ $15 3m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 51¢ $102 3m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $33 3m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $5 3m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $13 3m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $3 3m
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 29¢ $8 3m
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 3m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $17 3m
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 18¢ $4 4m
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 52¢ $3 4m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 7¢ $8 4m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 7¢ $2 4m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $41 4m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $23 4m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $17 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+342.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 +389.5% +342.9% 52% 47% +11.3%
≤30d 93 +389.5% +342.9% 52% 47% +11.3%
≤90d 93 +389.5% +342.9% 52% 47% +11.3%
all 93 +389.5% +342.9% 52% 47% +11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3175.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +342.9% 47% +11.3%
10% ← realistic here +300.5% 43% +0.6%
15% +261.8% 41% -9.1%
20% +226.3% 38% -18.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51,833.75 · official $51,814.53 (match) · 3500 history records