trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 38% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 33% | 0% | -18.5% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -0.5% | -9.9% | 47% | 6% | -12.6% |
| all | 27 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 52% | 4% | -12.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.2% | 4% | -12.7% |
| 10% | -18.8% | 4% | -21.0% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 0% | -28.7% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 0% | -35.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 23 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | Jun 21 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $20 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 27 | $48 | −$25 | -53% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 24 | $37 | +$9 | +24% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 23 | $40 | $0 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 21 | $19 | +$2 | +8% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 21 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 21 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 20 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15 | Jun 26 | $11 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will valid votes be between 30 million and 32 million in South Korean | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 05 | $9 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July? | Apr 17 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 25 | $15 | −$3 | -17% |
| Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday? | Mar 11 | $15 | $0 | +1% |