Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:12:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcfa0…8c4c
crypto · 872 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$570 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$568 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized+$568
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses430 / 441
Open positions1
Markets (closed)871 / 872
History coverage4d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day744.4
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 871 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$216
7 days+$568
14 days+$568
30 days+$568
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 42¢ 68¢ $25 $40 +$15 (+61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 25¢ 32¢ $7 $10 +$2 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $48 +$37 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $87 −$23 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $59 +$18 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$17 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$15 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$18 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $137 −$7 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$10 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$7 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $72 −$9 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $43 +$18 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$13 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$14 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$11 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$28 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$13 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$18 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$18 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $65 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$5 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $73 −$11 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$24 +426%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$6 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$11 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$11 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$17 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$7 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$570
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $21 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $20 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $19 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $14 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $14 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $8 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $16 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $27 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $12 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $19 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $14 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $13 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $28 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 871 -0.8% -10.2% 49% 45% -6.9%
≤30d 871 -0.8% -10.2% 49% 45% -6.9%
≤90d 871 -0.8% -10.2% 49% 45% -6.9%
all 871 -0.8% -10.2% 49% 45% -6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover744.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 45% -6.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 39% -15.8%
15% -26.7% 34% -24.0%
20% -33.8% 27% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.24 · official $52.34 · 3500 history records