Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:50:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcfbb…4197
crypto · 298 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$36,183 +689%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,821 · open −$29
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized+$2,821
Unrealized−$29
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses48 / 490
Open positions1
Markets (closed)538 / 298
History coverage1d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day2782.7
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 538 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,821
7 days+$2,821
14 days+$2,821
30 days+$2,821
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 2¢ 100¢ $0 $10 +$10 (+4900%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $31 $2 −$29 (-92%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 2¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+4900%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 7¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1328%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 5¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1899%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 7¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1328%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 7¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1329%)
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 2¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4900%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 7¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1329%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 7¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1327%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$10 +4901%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +4900%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +1328%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +1902%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +1332%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +1329%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +4900%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +1329%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +1328%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $66 −$66 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$8,457
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)+25.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 538 +38.7% +25.4% 9% 9% +25.8%
≤30d 538 +38.7% +25.4% 9% 9% +25.8%
≤90d 538 +38.7% +25.4% 9% 9% +25.8%
all 538 +38.7% +25.4% 9% 9% +25.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2782.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +25.4% 9% +25.8%
10% ← realistic here +13.4% 9% +13.8%
15% +2.5% 9% +2.8%
20% -7.6% 9% -7.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.72 · official $191.97 · 3500 history records