trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +113.1% | +92.8% | 50% | 50% | +71.9% |
| ≤30d | 22 | +39.8% | +26.5% | 32% | 32% | +19.5% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +39.8% | +26.5% | 32% | 32% | +19.5% |
| all | 22 | +39.8% | +26.5% | 32% | 32% | +19.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +26.5% | 32% | +19.5% |
| 10% | +14.4% | 32% | +8.1% |
| 15% | +3.3% | 32% | -2.3% |
| 20% | -6.8% | 32% | -11.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $100 | $118 | +$18 (+18%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $100 | $110 | +$10 (+10%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $100 | $96 | −$4 (-4%) |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Yes | 6¢ | 10¢ | $50 | $79 | +$29 (+58%) |
| Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Korea Republic? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $70 | $66 | −$4 (-6%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Qatar? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $50 | $45 | −$5 (-9%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $50 | $45 | −$5 (-10%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Qatar? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $30 | $28 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Korea Republic? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $30 | $28 | −$2 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $51 | +$150 | +292% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $16 | −$16 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 0 Panama? | Jun 18 | $51 | +$306 | +596% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$157 | +307% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$121 | +238% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$166 | +325% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $102 | +$282 | +276% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$127 | +250% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 ( | Jun 10 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | Jun 01 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 01 | $4 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $146 | −$139 | -95% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5 | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5) | May 30 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |