Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T05:20:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CF 0xcfda…fdd0 crypto 75 markets active 13d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (92 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$39 (-15%) realized −$39 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -25% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -42% what you keep after slip
Net edge-42%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate44%33W / 42L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day92.0pace
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 83% −$52
weather 13% −$3
other 3% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (92 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-32.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 75 -25.4% -32.5% 44% 40% -24.7%
≤90d 75 -25.4% -32.5% 44% 40% -24.7%
all 75 -25.4% -32.5% 44% 40% -24.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover92.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.5% 40% -24.7%
10% ← realistic here -38.9% 37% -31.9%
15% -44.8% 23% -38.5%
20% -50.3% 16% -44.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -17% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -25% · $-wt -17% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -40% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses33 / 42
Open positions0
Markets (closed)75 / 75
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day92.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 75 Trades
no open positions (19 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $3 −$3 -87%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$5 +166%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +68%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $17 +$2 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +86%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $6 +$12 +203%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15? Jun 15 $5 −$1 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 13d
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 13d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $3 13d
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 13d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 13d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 13d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 13d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 13d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 13d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 13d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 13d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $3 13d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 13d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 13d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 13d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 161 history records