trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$11 | -70% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$8 | +158% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | +$3 | +58% |
| Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 10 | $10 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list | May 19 | $19 | +$17 | +90% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +14.7% | +3.8% | 50% | 50% | -5.2% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +23.0% | +11.3% | 56% | 56% | +15.5% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +23.0% | +11.3% | 56% | 56% | +15.5% |
| all | 9 | +23.0% | +11.3% | 56% | 56% | +15.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +11.3% | 56% | +15.5% |
| 10% | +0.7% | 56% | +4.5% |
| 15% | -9.1% | 56% | -5.6% |
| 20% | -18.0% | 33% | -14.9% |