Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:06:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd001…f718
sports · 413 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18,968 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18,740 · open −$229
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$299
Realized−$18,740
Unrealized−$229
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses168 / 278
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Est. fees paid−$851
Open positions7
Markets (closed)446 / 413
History coverage68d
Avg bet$199
Trades / day48.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 446 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11,293
7 days−$12,977
14 days−$13,636
30 days−$18,157
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 35¢ 63¢ $77 $139 +$62 (+80%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 60¢ 40¢ $133 $87 −$45 (-34%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 71¢ 100¢ $21 $30 +$9 (+41%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 35¢ 60¢ $15 $27 +$11 (+74%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 62¢ 37¢ $26 $15 −$11 (-41%)
Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs ZANSIDE GAMING - Game 2 Winner ZANSIDE GAMING 95¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$94 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 44¢ 0¢ $141 $0 −$141 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-94%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner GenOne 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner Eternal Fire 28¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming Youth Team 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 28¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 11¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 19¢ 0¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner Heroic 26¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$72 -119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$17 -42%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $392 −$361 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $732 −$732 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$17 -122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$16 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2,144 −$2,200 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $290 −$128 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$103 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $94 −$89 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$39 -123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$44 -74%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $76 −$61 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $870 −$834 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$8 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$32 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $876 −$859 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3,504 −$3,810 -109%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 +$2 +39%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +128%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1,436 −$1,400 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,118 −$2 -0%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $167 +$145 +87%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$3 -33%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 +$4 +79%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$4 -80%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 +$1 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% −$8,336
crypto 31% −$583
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 50¢ $2 14m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 49¢ $2 14m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 46¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 50¢ $3 18m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 26m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $0 27m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $10 27m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $4,661 31m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 60¢ $38 33m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 35¢ $22 33m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 60¢ $93 33m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 35¢ $55 33m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 33¢ $2 33m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 63¢ $3 33m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 100¢ $312 33m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 64¢ $25 50m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 31¢ $12 50m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 24¢ $1 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 40¢ $2 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY GenOne 46¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $4 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 46¢ $5 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 43¢ $39 1h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 54¢ $49 1h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 54¢ $70 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 43¢ $56 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $8 1h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 50¢ $9 1h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 50¢ $13 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-31.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 154 -28.3% -35.1% 33% 31% -50.6%
≤30d 377 -23.0% -30.3% 36% 34% -38.9%
≤90d 446 -24.6% -31.8% 38% 33% -31.7%
all 446 -24.6% -31.8% 38% 33% -31.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.8% 33% -31.7%
10% ← realistic here -38.3% 29% -38.2%
15% -44.3% 24% -44.2%
20% -49.7% 18% -49.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $299.22 · official $299.22 (match) · 3500 history records