Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T20:47:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
D0 0xd001…b753 other 1651 markets active 1h ago coverage 83d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 82d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$25 (+0%) realized +$25 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%1648W / 3L
Drawdown33%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day20.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit51%portable
Net worth$5now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$2
14 days+$1
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 50% +$11
sports 47% −$1
world 1% $0
finance 0% +$1
crypto 0% $0
politics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
weather 0% +$1
culture 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 394 -0.1% -9.6% 100% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 958 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1651 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 1651 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.0 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.24 per $1 lost it wins $2.24
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

83d coverage
Net worth$5
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1648 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1651 / 1651
History coverage83d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day20.0
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit51%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1651 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin above 60,200 on June 26, 4PM ET? Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 22 above $180? Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: TTG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Aboian vs. Casanova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Marcinko vs Keys Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Fancutt/Rai vs. Dev/Sinha: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Rainbow Six Siege: POZY vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: REJECT (-3.5) vs IGZIST (+3.5) Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Kenan Yıldız: 1+ assists Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Tim Weah: 1+ shots Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots on target Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Brenden Aaronson: 2+ shots on target Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Tete Yengi: 1+ shots Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Gio Reyna: 2+ shots on target Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Kenan Yıldız: 3+ goals + assists Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Brenden Aaronson: 1+ assists Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Gio Reyna: 3+ shots Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Gio Reyna: 2+ goals + assists Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Gabriel Ávalos: 4+ shots Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Gustavo Caballero: 1+ shots on target Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Tijjani Reijnders: 3+ shots on target Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Ritsu Dōan: 1+ shots Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Benjamin Nygren: 2+ shots on target Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ shots Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Donyell Malen: 5+ shots Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Cody Gakpo: 5+ shots Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Daizen Maeda: 3+ goals + assists Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Kento Shiogai: 3+ shots on target Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses Academy (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2 Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Verizon" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA W Jun 26 $5 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Comeback” or “Come Back" during the Ecuador v Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SaD Esports (-5.5) vs Nightblood Gaming (+5.5) Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SaD Esports (-3.5) vs Nightblood Gaming (+3.5) Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Manuel Neuer: 4+ saves Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Jordy Caicedo: 3+ shots on target Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Simon Adingra: 3+ goals Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Franck Kessié: 3+ goals + assists Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Jamie Leweling: 2+ shots on target Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Elye Wahi: 3+ goals Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Record" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA Wo Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Nadiem Amiri: 2+ goals Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Czechia vs Mexic Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
RS Berkane vs. AS FAR: RS Berkane 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 22 above $180? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin above 60,200 on June 26, 4PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $5 47m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 3h
Game Handicap: TTG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) BUY JD Gaming 100¢ $5 6h
Aboian vs. Casanova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 6h
Set 1 Winner: Marcinko vs Keys BUY Keys 100¢ $5 7h
Fancutt/Rai vs. Dev/Sinha: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 9h
Rainbow Six Siege: POZY vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 100¢ $5 10h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: REJECT (-3.5) vs IGZIST (+3.5) BUY IGZIST 100¢ $5 11h
Kenan Yıldız: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 13h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 13h
Tim Weah: 1+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 14h
Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots on target BUY Yes 100¢ $5 14h
Brenden Aaronson: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 14h
Tete Yengi: 1+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $5 14h
Gio Reyna: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 16h
Brenden Aaronson: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 16h
Gio Reyna: 2+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 16h
Gabriel Ávalos: 4+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 16h
Gio Reyna: 3+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 16h
Kenan Yıldız: 3+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 16h
Gustavo Caballero: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 16h
Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 16h
Tijjani Reijnders: 3+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 17h
Ritsu Dōan: 1+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $5 19h
Benjamin Nygren: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 19h
Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 19h
Donyell Malen: 5+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 19h
Cody Gakpo: 5+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 19h
Kento Shiogai: 3+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.00 · official $5.00 (match) · 3500 history records