Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd01f…ce7a
finance · 78 markets active 7d ago
0.0score
+$1,882 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,882 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY finance specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,882
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses40 / 38
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)78 / 78
Avg bet$2,155
Trades / day48.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 0 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$4,975
14 days−$1,813
30 days+$6,626
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 2? Jun 05 $878 −$77 -9%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $332 +$1,484 +447%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 4? Jun 05 $62 −$62 -100%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2? Jun 05 $1,611 −$883 -55%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2? Jun 05 $6,089 −$1,657 -27%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $1,293 +$958 +74%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3? Jun 05 $4,395 −$4,395 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2? Jun 05 $10,897 −$3,109 -28%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $2,826 +$143 +5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $1,613 +$387 +24%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $3,107 +$326 +10%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? Jun 05 $10 +$1,302 +13035%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 5? Jun 05 $190 +$494 +260%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $1,489 +$114 +8%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 4? Jun 04 $500 +$300 +60%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 04 $287 +$31 +11%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 3? Jun 03 $3,523 +$1,471 +42%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 3? Jun 03 $524 +$39 +7%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2? Jun 03 $2,889 +$1,454 +50%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1? Jun 02 $3,168 −$914 -29%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1? Jun 02 $5,605 +$2,420 +43%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 02 $3,285 +$353 +11%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1? Jun 01 $1,138 +$1,256 +110%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $2,345 −$88 -4%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27? Jun 01 $166 −$166 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27? Jun 01 $5,780 −$1,987 -34%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28? Jun 01 $1,640 −$1,640 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 27? Jun 01 $250 +$5 +2%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29? Jun 01 $983 +$221 +22%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28? Jun 01 $790 −$224 -28%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29? Jun 01 $3,377 +$619 +18%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29? May 29 $719 +$12 +2%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 27? May 27 $406 +$197 +48%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26? May 27 $2,104 +$265 +13%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19? May 27 $2,609 +$150 +6%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15? May 27 $1,538 −$1,009 -66%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18? May 27 $523 −$257 -49%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21? May 27 $6,701 −$814 -12%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20? May 27 $5,512 +$530 +10%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 26? May 26 $1,063 −$129 -12%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 26? May 26 $848 +$132 +16%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22? May 23 $1,486 +$165 +11%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19? May 19 $1,422 −$19 -1%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18? May 18 $1,243 +$9,986 +803%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14? May 14 $1,068 +$65 +6%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 13? May 14 $495 −$495 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13? May 14 $3,809 +$2,312 +61%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? May 13 $1,808 −$1,808 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11? May 13 $3,094 −$831 -27%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12? May 12 $4,564 −$1,587 -35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 87% +$2,601
other 13% −$718
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5? BUY Up 0¢ $31 6d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5? SELL Down 100¢ $1,662 6d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 6d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? BUY Yes 1¢ $6 6d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? SELL No 97¢ $30 6d
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 1 2026? BUY No 95¢ $2,826 6d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? SELL No 99¢ $25 6d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? SELL No 99¢ $1 6d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? SELL No 94¢ $47 6d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 5? SELL No 75¢ $19 6d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5? SELL Down 98¢ $49 6d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5? SELL Down 98¢ $6 6d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5? SELL Down 98¢ $49 6d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 5? SELL No 91¢ $39 6d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5? SELL Down 98¢ $49 6d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 5? SELL No 91¢ $20 6d
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 5? SELL Down 98¢ $9 6d
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 5? SELL Down 98¢ $11 6d
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 5? SELL Down 98¢ $11 6d
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 5? SELL Down 98¢ $17 6d
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 5? SELL Down 98¢ $49 6d
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 5? SELL Down 98¢ $49 6d
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 5? SELL No 91¢ $15 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +179.2% +152.6% 57% 36% -25.3%
≤30d 49 +65.3% +49.5% 59% 41% -4.9%
≤90d 78 +32.7% +20.0% 51% 36% -9.1%
all 78 +32.7% +20.0% 51% 36% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +20.0% 36% -9.1%
10% +8.5% 21% -17.8%
15% ← realistic here -2.0% 17% -25.7%
20% -11.6% 12% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3062 history records