Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:19:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd032…200f
crypto · 339 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$29 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses214 / 124
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)338 / 339
History coverage95d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day6.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 338 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$14
14 days−$80
30 days−$77
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -0%
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +24%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$43
sports 1% +$1
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $1 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 160 -5.8% -14.7% 61% 46% -14.9%
≤30d 255 -20.2% -27.8% 53% 38% -28.7%
≤90d 267 -18.4% -26.2% 54% 38% -27.7%
all 338 -8.0% -16.7% 63% 40% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.7% 40% -17.4%
10% -24.7% 26% -25.3%
15% -32.0% 18% -32.5%
20% -38.7% 12% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.96 · official $0.96 (match) · 861 history records