trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -81.0% | -82.8% | 10% | 10% | -69.4% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -31.6% | -38.1% | 36% | 29% | +10.7% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -31.6% | -38.1% | 36% | 29% | +10.7% |
| all | 14 | -31.6% | -38.1% | 36% | 29% | +10.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -38.1% | 29% | +10.7% |
| 10% | -44.0% | 29% | +0.1% |
| 15% | -49.4% | 29% | -9.6% |
| 20% | -54.4% | 29% | -18.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 61¢ | 62¢ | $2,333 | $2,353 | +$19 (+1%) |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $1,200 | $1,175 | −$25 (-2%) |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 U.S. Open? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | $316 | $325 | +$9 (+3%) |
| Will Nikolaj Ehlers lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points? | Yes | 7¢ | 100¢ | $7 | $100 | +$92 (+1321%) |
| Will Cameron Young finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open? | No | 61¢ | 55¢ | $9 | $8 | −$1 (-10%) |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 32¢ | 35¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $1,126 | −$1,100 | -98% |
| Will Sebastian Aho lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points? | Jun 19 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Mitch Marner lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? | Jun 19 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will K'Andre Miller win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 19 | $1,091 | −$1,091 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $1,334 | −$1,334 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $2,600 | −$2,600 | -100% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $5,174 | −$5,174 | -100% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $2,479 | +$2,221 | +90% |
| Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? | Jun 12 | $248 | +$1 | +0% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $8 | +$12 | +140% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 | Jun 10 | $25 | +$25 | +100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $11,605 | +$14,929 | +129% |