Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:25:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd054…c6be
sports · 104 markets active 0h ago
6.0score
+$1,383 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,675 · open −$291
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$608
Realized+$1,675
Unrealized−$291
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses62 / 36
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$192
Open positions6
Markets (closed)98 / 104
History coverage27d
Avg bet$152
Trades / day9.1
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 98 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$59
7 days+$400
14 days+$1,116
30 days+$1,675
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 54¢ 78¢ $108 $155 +$47 (+44%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 70¢ 69¢ $140 $139 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 58¢ 56¢ $116 $113 −$3 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 42¢ 36¢ $126 $108 −$18 (-14%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 62¢ 62¢ $93 $92 −$1 (-1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 40¢ 0¢ $316 $0 −$316 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 57¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 26¢ 0¢ $264 $0 −$264 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Liquid 60¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 71¢ 0¢ $568 $0 −$568 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 62¢ 0¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) NRG 70¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 34¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 61¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 64¢ 0¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 47¢ 0¢ $149 $0 −$149 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 59¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 45¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Liquid 56¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 58¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 43¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 61¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 MIBR 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas 69¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage NRG 58¢ 0¢ $174 $0 −$174 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $62 +$38 +62%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $133 +$66 +50%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $265 −$264 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $55 +$45 +82%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $517 +$481 +93%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $127 −$125 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $487 +$212 +43%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $716 −$587 -82%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $271 −$270 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $355 +$344 +97%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $103 +$47 +46%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $500 +$179 +36%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $152 −$149 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $127 +$123 +97%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $134 −$134 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $132 −$132 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $117 −$117 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $180 −$180 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $122 −$122 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $301 −$301 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $263 −$263 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $248 −$248 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $64 +$36 +57%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $113 +$86 +76%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $176 −$174 -99%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $84 +$66 +79%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $59 −$58 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $91 −$90 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $508 +$391 +77%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $230 +$120 +52%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $99 −$98 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $149 +$150 +101%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $41 +$58 +143%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $82 +$68 +82%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $108 +$52 +48%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $44 −$43 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $125 −$124 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $86 +$84 +97%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $306 +$373 +122%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $197 +$103 +52%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $328 +$171 +52%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $51 +$49 +97%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $156 +$91 +58%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $142 +$68 +48%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $112 −$111 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $139 +$59 +42%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $143 +$57 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$1,171
other 3% +$212
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $26 21m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $8 22m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $10 22m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 30¢ $2 22m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 62¢ $94 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 58¢ $117 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $141 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $82 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 54¢ $109 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 28¢ $114 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $200 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 20¢ $20 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 20¢ $6 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 20¢ $6 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 20¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 21¢ $81 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 21¢ $3 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 21¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 20¢ $2 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 20¢ $21 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 20¢ $23 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 20¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $100 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $999 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $102 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $517 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 51¢ $207 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $127 7h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $133 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 +1.1% -8.5% 61% 61% -6.1%
≤30d 98 +7.0% -3.2% 63% 63% +0.9%
≤90d 98 +7.0% -3.2% 63% 63% +0.9%
all 98 +7.0% -3.2% 63% 63% +0.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.2% 63% +0.9%
10% -12.4% 62% -8.8%
15% -20.9% 58% -17.6%
20% -28.7% 40% -25.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $607.61 · official $607.65 (match) · 272 history records