Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:27:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd058…8c21
crypto · 224 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$93 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$93 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses154 / 70
Open positions0
Markets (closed)224 / 224
History coverage13d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day52.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 224 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$63
7 days−$83
14 days−$93
30 days−$93
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$7 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$93
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 214 -4.3% -13.4% 70% 40% -12.6%
≤30d 224 -4.3% -13.4% 69% 39% -12.7%
≤90d 224 -4.3% -13.4% 69% 39% -12.7%
all 224 -4.3% -13.4% 69% 39% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 39% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 13% -21.1%
15% -29.3% 3% -28.7%
20% -36.2% 1% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 854 history records