Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:42:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd05f…9009
sports · 182 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$72 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$97 · open −$58
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$68
Realized+$97
Unrealized−$58
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses71 / 86
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions25
Markets (closed)157 / 182
History coverage8d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day77.2
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 25 History 157 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$62
7 days+$103
14 days+$97
30 days+$97
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14? Yes 13¢ 9¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-28%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 60¢ 74¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+24%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14? Yes 18¢ 35¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+89%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-20%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? Yes 49¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+103%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Vitality 73¢ 74¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 14? Yes 9¢ 12¢ $3 $5 +$1 (+33%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 14? No 82¢ 91¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 61¢ 60¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 64¢ 55¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 54¢ 46¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+20%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 14? Yes 5¢ 2¢ $7 $3 −$4 (-59%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 66¢ 34¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-48%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 14? Yes 16¢ 6¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-63%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 15? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+26%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 14? Yes 7¢ 1¢ $6 $1 −$5 (-90%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-98%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-96%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on June 14? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-97%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 14? Yes 72¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 80¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? Jun 14 $3 +$16 +473%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 14? Jun 14 $12 −$3 -28%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $5 −$1 -25%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $4 +$1 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14? Jun 14 $8 +$10 +121%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14? Jun 14 $4 −$2 -38%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13? Jun 14 $8 +$8 +105%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 13? Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 14? Jun 14 $2 +$2 +110%
Scotland leading at halftime? Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $3 −$2 -84%
Haiti to score first vs. Scotland? Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Jun 14 $5 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 −$2 -31%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 14? Jun 13 $6 −$1 -24%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$4 +80%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +27%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$6 +79%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$25 +312%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 14? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$6 +123%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 14? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -27%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $17 −$12 -73%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $8 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 +$2 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $8 +$2 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 49% +$48
weather 37% +$18
other 11% −$21
crypto 2% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 30m
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 30m
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 30m
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14? BUY Yes 12¢ $0 32m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 60¢ $5 38m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 64¢ $5 46m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on June 14? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 52m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 53m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14? BUY Yes 9¢ $0 53m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 56m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 14? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 56m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 14? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 57m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 57m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 57m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14? BUY Yes 10¢ $4 59m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 14? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 14? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? BUY Yes 5¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? SELL Yes 96¢ $19 1h
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 14? SELL Yes 33¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 14? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 14? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 14? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 2h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 14? BUY Yes 7¢ $4 2h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 14? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 14? BUY Yes 53¢ $4 4h
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 14? BUY Yes 55¢ $4 4h
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14? BUY Yes 3¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 151 +7.8% -2.5% 46% 36% +1.2%
≤30d 157 +6.1% -4.0% 45% 36% +0.4%
≤90d 157 +6.1% -4.0% 45% 36% +0.4%
all 157 +6.1% -4.0% 45% 36% +0.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover77.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.0% 36% +0.4%
10% ← realistic here -13.2% 28% -9.2%
15% -21.5% 22% -18.0%
20% -29.2% 18% -26.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $68.50 · official $68.52 (match) · 714 history records