trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 2 | +31.5% | +19.0% | 100% | 100% | +19.0% |
| all | 65 | +5.3% | -4.7% | 49% | 49% | -13.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.7% | 49% | -13.3% |
| 10% | -13.8% | 43% | -21.6% |
| 15% | -22.1% | 28% | -29.2% |
| 20% | -29.8% | 22% | -36.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? | No | 70¢ | 69¢ | $35 | $35 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan end in a draw? | May 17 | $38 | +$12 | +32% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 06 | $39 | +$12 | +31% |
| Pelicans vs. Knicks | Mar 29 | $38 | +$12 | +30% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | Feb 23 | $38 | +$12 | +33% |
| Browns vs. Bengals | Jan 04 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Sharks | Dec 19 | $41 | +$20 | +49% |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | Dec 06 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesota | Oct 18 | $15 | +$35 | +233% |
| Liberty vs. Valkyries | Sep 03 | $11 | +$24 | +223% |
| Rockies vs. Cardinals | Aug 12 | $33 | +$17 | +52% |
| White Sox vs. Rockies | Aug 11 | $46 | −$46 | -100% |
| Blue Jays vs. Twins | Jul 04 | $22 | +$28 | +127% |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | May 06 | $22 | +$78 | +354% |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers | May 05 | $16 | +$34 | +212% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers | Apr 11 | $78 | +$22 | +28% |
| Hurricanes vs. Red Wings | Apr 05 | $37 | +$63 | +170% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Hawks | Apr 04 | $66 | −$66 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Cavaliers | Apr 01 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | Mar 30 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Flyers vs. Maple Leafs | Mar 28 | $45 | +$19 | +43% |
| Magic vs. Wizards | Mar 25 | $75 | +$25 | +33% |
| Jets vs. Canucks | Mar 21 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Clippers | Mar 18 | $85 | +$15 | +18% |
| Bruins vs. Senators | Mar 16 | $65 | +$35 | +54% |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Mar 13 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-09? | Mar 11 | $79 | +$21 | +27% |
| Will Rangers win on 2025-03-06? | Mar 09 | $13 | +$53 | +411% |
| Penguins vs. Avalanche | Mar 06 | $30 | +$12 | +39% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Mar 04 | $87 | +$13 | +15% |
| Pelicans vs. Suns | Mar 02 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Magic | Feb 28 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Sharks vs. Flames | Feb 24 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Warriors | Feb 24 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Feb 24 | $46 | +$15 | +32% |
| Will Southampton vs. Brighton end in a draw? | Feb 23 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Jazz | Feb 23 | $74 | −$74 | -100% |
| Nets vs. 76ers | Feb 23 | $11 | +$41 | +376% |
| Grizzlies vs. Magic | Feb 22 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Wizards | Feb 22 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Will Leicester vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Feb 22 | $36 | +$11 | +32% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Feb 21 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Nuggets | Feb 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Spurs | Feb 21 | $20 | +$23 | +117% |
| Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-02-19? | Feb 20 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Feb 20 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-19? | Feb 20 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Will AC Milan vs. Feyenoord end in a draw? | Feb 19 | $65 | −$65 | -100% |
| Will Benfica vs. Monaco end in a draw? | Feb 19 | $15 | +$48 | +317% |
| Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw? | Feb 19 | $60 | +$15 | +25% |
| Canada vs. Finland | Feb 18 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY No | 70¢ | $35 | 1h |
| Will Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan end in a draw? | BUY No | 75¢ | $38 | 41d |
| Magic vs. Pistons | BUY Pistons | 76¢ | $39 | 60d |
| Pelicans vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 77¢ | $38 | 95d |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | BUY No | 75¢ | $38 | 125d |
| Browns vs. Bengals | BUY Bengals | 76¢ | $38 | 174d |
| Stars vs. Sharks | BUY Stars | 67¢ | $41 | 191d |
| Will Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 26¢ | $13 | 213d |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesota | BUY Minnesota | 30¢ | $15 | 253d |
| Liberty vs. Valkyries | BUY Valkyries | 31¢ | $11 | 298d |
| Rockies vs. Cardinals | BUY Cardinals | 66¢ | $33 | 320d |
| White Sox vs. Rockies | BUY Rockies | 46¢ | $46 | 358d |
| Blue Jays vs. Twins | BUY Blue Jays | 44¢ | $22 | 386d |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | BUY Knicks | 22¢ | $22 | 418d |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers | BUY Nuggets | 32¢ | $16 | 427d |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 78¢ | $78 | 443d |
| Hurricanes vs. Red Wings | BUY Red Wings | 37¢ | $37 | 449d |
| Trail Blazers vs. Hawks | BUY Hawks | 66¢ | $66 | 452d |
| Clippers vs. Cavaliers | BUY Clippers | 29¢ | $21 | 454d |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | BUY Suns | 30¢ | $15 | 456d |
| Flyers vs. Maple Leafs | BUY Maple Leafs | 70¢ | $45 | 459d |
| Magic vs. Wizards | BUY Magic | 75¢ | $75 | 463d |
| Jets vs. Canucks | BUY Jets | 61¢ | $23 | 465d |
| Hornets vs. Clippers | BUY Clippers | 85¢ | $85 | 468d |
| Bruins vs. Senators | BUY Senators | 65¢ | $65 | 471d |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | BUY Clippers | 72¢ | $44 | 473d |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-09? | BUY Yes | 79¢ | $79 | 475d |
| Will Rangers win on 2025-03-06? | BUY Yes | 20¢ | $13 | 478d |
| Penguins vs. Avalanche | BUY Avalanche | 72¢ | $30 | 480d |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY Thunder | 87¢ | $87 | 481d |