Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T05:57:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D0 0xd06b…1d08 crypto 556 markets active 1h ago coverage 19d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,098 (-18%) realized −$1,098 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate46%256W / 300L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day37.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$98
7 days−$178
14 days−$1,133
30 days−$1,257
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,257
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -10.9% -19.4% 47% 47% -18.8%
≤30d 556 -7.6% -16.4% 46% 46% -28.5%
≤90d 556 -7.6% -16.4% 46% 46% -28.5%
all 556 -7.6% -16.4% 46% 46% -28.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover37.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 46% -28.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 46% -35.3%
15% -31.7% 46% -41.5%
20% -38.4% 46% -47.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -21% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -21% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$12 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,098
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses256 / 300
Open positions0
Markets (closed)556 / 556
History coverage19d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day37.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 556 Trades
no open positions (299 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 26 $50 −$48 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 26 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 26 $12 +$8 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 26 $12 +$20 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 26 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 25 $163 −$158 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 25 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 25 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 25 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $82 +$63 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 25 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 25 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$18 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$13 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$13 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$14 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 25 $6 +$12 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 24 $50 −$48 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 24 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 24 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 24 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 24 $6 +$11 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$13 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 24 $41 +$34 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 24 $18 −$17 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 24 $21 +$13 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$13 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$14 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 24 $41 +$33 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 24 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 24 $21 +$21 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 24 $21 +$18 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 24 $40 +$27 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 24 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 24 $41 +$36 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 24 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 24 $166 +$206 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 24 $83 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 24 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 24 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 24 $39 +$52 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 24 $20 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 24 $12 +$8 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $163 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $58 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $18 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $6 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 966 history records