Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:03:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd06b…82fa
crypto · 119 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses114 / 3
Open positions2
Markets (closed)117 / 119
History coverage2d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day88.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 117 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Up 99¢ 98¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Up 97¢ 94¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 -0.8% -10.3% 97% 0% -10.0%
≤30d 117 -0.8% -10.3% 97% 0% -10.0%
≤90d 117 -0.8% -10.3% 97% 0% -10.0%
all 117 -0.8% -10.3% 97% 0% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover88.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 0% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.44 · official $24.44 (match) · 297 history records