trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 19 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 5% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $123 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $376 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 02 | $124 | $0 | -0% |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 19 | $124 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $124 | $0 | -0% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 19 | $125 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 17 | $125 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 02 | $252 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 19 | $252 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | Mar 15 | $252 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 13 | $493 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Mar 10 | $252 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | Mar 03 | $253 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 07 | $253 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Jan 29 | $246 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 04 | $244 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 03 | $246 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 03 | $239 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 02 | $244 | $0 | -0% |