Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd098…8d1c
sports · 86 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$367 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$402 · open −$35
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$994
Realized+$402
Unrealized−$35
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses44 / 36
Est. fees paid−$66
Open positions6
Markets (closed)80 / 86
Avg bet$91
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 6 History 80 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$192
14 days−$24
30 days+$231
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $370 $368 −$2 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 69¢ 69¢ $230 $232 +$2 (+1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $166 $165 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 56¢ $122 $121 −$1 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 52¢ $109 $108 −$1 (-1%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 57¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 63¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Leolia Jeanjean 53¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? No 54¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils Gael Monfils 53¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 55¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 55¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe Hubert Hurkacz 57¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Dalma Galfi vs Mayar Sherif Dalma Galfi 58¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Eva Lys Petra Marcinko 56¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Spurs 54¢ 0¢ $113 $0 −$113 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic Miomir Kecmanovic 61¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 61¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? No 32¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 69¢ 0¢ $213 $0 −$213 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra Jasmine Paolini 64¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 64¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech Magdalena Frech 61¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 44¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? No 73¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $19 +$9 +48%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $48 −$47 -98%
Will India win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $16 +$3 +20%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $109 +$94 +86%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $732 +$212 +29%
Will Singapore win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $32 +$7 +21%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 05 $475 −$470 -99%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 04 $15 +$9 +62%
Will Guinea win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $18 +$6 +34%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 04 $18 −$17 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 04 $16 −$16 -99%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 04 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $19 +$7 +34%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $31 +$50 +158%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 03 $29 −$28 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 03 $29 −$29 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $34 +$23 +67%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry Jun 01 $38 +$23 +60%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 May 31 $24 −$23 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider May 31 $34 −$34 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi May 31 $29 −$29 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev May 31 $30 −$30 -99%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $283 +$191 +67%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce May 30 $34 +$24 +70%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana May 30 $46 +$23 +50%
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska May 30 $29 +$23 +79%
Will Andorra win on 2026-05-29? May 30 $70 +$6 +8%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $143 +$92 +65%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot May 28 $42 −$9 -22%
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Camila Osorio May 28 $32 +$23 +70%
Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Faria May 28 $37 +$23 +62%
Roland Garros WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Kimberly Birrell May 28 $46 +$21 +47%
Roland Garros ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsen May 27 $41 +$25 +60%
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik May 27 $27 +$24 +90%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $57 −$57 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierra May 27 $43 −$43 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas May 27 $38 −$38 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech May 27 $36 −$36 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe May 27 $32 −$32 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic May 27 $38 −$37 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys May 27 $35 −$35 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesana May 26 $32 +$24 +73%
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot May 26 $29 +$23 +79%
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien May 26 $38 +$22 +57%
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi May 26 $30 +$23 +76%
Roland Garros WTA: Claire Liu vs Moyuka Uchijima May 26 $30 +$23 +76%
Roland Garros WTA: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova May 25 $32 +$24 +76%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkacz May 25 $32 +$23 +73%
Roland Garros WTA: Dalma Galfi vs Mayar Sherif May 25 $33 −$32 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres Burruchaga May 25 $31 −$30 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% −$74
other 20% +$440
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Ilia Topuria 81¢ $372 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $124 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $232 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $111 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $167 2h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 67¢ $19 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 32¢ $48 24h
Will India win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 83¢ $16 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 53¢ $109 3d
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 77¢ $732 5d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 67¢ $475 6d
Will Singapore win on 2026-06-05? BUY No 82¢ $32 7d
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves BUY Atlanta Braves 65¢ $18 7d
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 64¢ $16 7d
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees BUY New York Yankees 61¢ $15 7d
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 52¢ $10 7d
Will Guinea win on 2026-06-04? BUY No 74¢ $18 7d
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Marta Kostyuk 55¢ $29 9d
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska BUY Anna Kalinskaya 55¢ $29 9d
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? BUY No 38¢ $31 9d
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03? BUY No 74¢ $19 9d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY BIG 55¢ $24 11d
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider BUY Madison Keys 59¢ $34 12d
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry BUY Maja Chwalinska 62¢ $38 12d
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini BUY Matteo Berrettini 59¢ $34 12d
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Frances Tiafoe 55¢ $29 12d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev BUY Andrey Rublev 55¢ $30 12d
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana BUY Matteo Berrettini 66¢ $46 14d
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska BUY Maja Chwalinska 55¢ $29 14d
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce BUY Juan Manuel Cerundolo 58¢ $34 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +0.6% -9.0% 71% 71% -21.7%
≤30d 76 -9.5% -18.2% 54% 53% -6.2%
≤90d 80 -2.4% -11.7% 55% 54% -4.1%
all 80 -2.4% -11.7% 55% 54% -4.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 54% -4.1%
10% -20.1% 51% -13.3%
15% -27.8% 44% -21.7%
20% -34.9% 36% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $993.69 · official $993.72 (match) · 131 history records