Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:28:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D0 0xd0a5…7b04 crypto 160 markets active 1d ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 8d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (373 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$19,251 (+58%) realized +$19,251 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate38%61W / 99L
Whale WR47%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$207per market
Trades / day373.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,885
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (373 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-21.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 -55.0% -59.3% 20% 20% -42.3%
≤30d 160 -13.3% -21.6% 38% 36% -17.4%
≤90d 160 -13.3% -21.6% 38% 36% -17.4%
all 160 -13.3% -21.6% 38% 36% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover373.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.6% 36% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -29.1% 34% -25.3%
15% -35.9% 32% -32.5%
20% -42.2% 31% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 47% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early +35% → late -62% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
20.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$274 vs −$198 · ×1.38 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$19,251
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses61 / 99
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)160 / 160
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$207
Trades / day373.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 160 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $173 −$166 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $160 −$160 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1PM ET Jun 16 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4PM ET Jun 16 $430 −$430 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $164 −$164 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3PM ET Jun 16 $280 −$280 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $290 −$290 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $499 −$499 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5PM ET Jun 16 $885 −$885 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $448 −$72 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2PM ET Jun 16 $191 −$191 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $1,268 +$177 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12PM ET Jun 15 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $284 −$284 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $186 −$186 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $225 +$384 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $557 +$443 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9PM ET Jun 15 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $294 −$294 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9PM ET Jun 15 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $251 −$251 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $227 −$227 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $129 −$129 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12AM ET Jun 15 $258 −$258 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $287 −$287 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $370 −$370 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10PM ET Jun 15 $1,061 −$1,061 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $82 +$41 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11PM ET Jun 15 $17 +$14 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $177 +$439 +248%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $166 +$225 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $290 +$309 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $690 +$1,046 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10PM ET Jun 15 $103 +$79 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $211 +$200 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $275 +$383 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $259 +$810 +313%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2PM ET Jun 15 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $17 −$17 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $6 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $8 32h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? SELL No 49¢ $115 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $7 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $9 34h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? BUY No 41¢ $104 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $9 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $9 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $9 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records