Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:36:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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D0 0xd0a9…e0c1 crypto 1463 markets active 10h ago coverage 103d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 103d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$149 (-1%) realized −$149 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate72%1057W / 406L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day28.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$32
14 days+$7
30 days+$131
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$295
sports 1% +$9
other 0% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -4.9% -13.9% 65% 10% -12.6%
≤30d 292 +1.3% -8.4% 81% 16% -7.5%
≤90d 1344 -3.1% -12.3% 74% 28% -10.9%
all 1463 -4.9% -13.9% 72% 28% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover28.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 28% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 6% -19.9%
15% -29.7% 4% -27.7%
20% -36.6% 2% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
58% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.32 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

103d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$149
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1057 / 406
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1463 / 1463
History coverage103d ⚠
Avg bet$11
Trades / day28.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1463 Trades
no open positions (18 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$6 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$2 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 16 $17 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$4 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$1 -6%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$11 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$4 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$1 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $30 −$2 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$2 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -58%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -35%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $14 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $21 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $20 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $19 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $16 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $21 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $21 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $21 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $21 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $20 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $22 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $20 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $21 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $20 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $18 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $18 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $17 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $16 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $20 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $19 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records