Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T15:33:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D0 0xd0ab…97b9 crypto 5 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$17 (-7%) realized −$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -37% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -51% what you keep after slip
Net edge-51%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 5L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$51per market
Trades / day26.0pace
Kalshi-fit60%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 52% −$45
other 48% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-42.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -36.9% -42.9% 0% 0% -41.0%
≤30d 5 -36.9% -42.9% 0% 0% -41.0%
≤90d 5 -36.9% -42.9% 0% 0% -41.0%
all 5 -36.9% -42.9% 0% 0% -41.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -42.9% 0% -41.0%
10% ← realistic here -48.4% 0% -46.7%
15% -53.4% 0% -51.8%
20% -57.9% 0% -56.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -35% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -37% · $-wt -35% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
4.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$18 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day26.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 5 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? Jun 19 $21 −$11 -54%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Jun 19 $27 −$9 -33%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? Jun 19 $28 −$8 -30%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 19 $77 −$27 -35%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Jun 19 $102 −$33 -33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? SELL Yes 3¢ $10 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL Yes 10¢ $18 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? SELL Yes 21¢ $20 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL Yes 21¢ $50 1h
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? SELL Yes 28¢ $69 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY Yes 13¢ $7 9h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY Yes 13¢ $7 9h
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? BUY Yes 45¢ $23 9h
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? BUY Yes 42¢ $21 9h
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? BUY Yes 39¢ $20 9h
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 9h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 30¢ $29 9h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 30¢ $14 9h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY Yes 13¢ $13 9h
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 10h
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 10h
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 10h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? BUY Yes 27¢ $14 10h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? BUY Yes 27¢ $14 10h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 30¢ $16 10h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 31¢ $16 10h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 10h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 10h
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? BUY Yes 38¢ $36 10h
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? BUY Yes 38¢ $2 10h
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? BUY Yes 5¢ $6 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 26 history records