Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:44:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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D0 0xd0ac…7dee sports 49 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (695 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$27,579 (+7%) realized +$27,597 · open −$18
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +153% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +76% what you keep after slip
Net edge+76%after slip
Net WR13%break-even
Win rate55%48W / 39L
Whale WR73%big bets
Drawdown10%max
Avg bet$7,802per market
Trades / day694.6pace
Fees−$4,288est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$1,304now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$2,977
other 0% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (695 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)+128.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 +153.0% +128.9% 55% 13% -8.7%
≤30d 87 +153.0% +128.9% 55% 13% -8.7%
≤90d 87 +153.0% +128.9% 55% 13% -8.7%
all 87 +153.0% +128.9% 55% 13% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover694.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +128.9% 13% -8.7%
10% +107.0% 13% -17.5%
15% ← realistic here +87.0% 11% -25.4%
20% +68.7% 11% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
77% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +153% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 73% (≥$7,031) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +48% → late +256% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
38.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$131 vs −$35 · ×3.8 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×4.67 per $1 lost it wins $4.67
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$1,304
Realized+$27,597
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses48 / 39
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$4,288
Open positions1
Markets (closed)87 / 49
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$7,802
Trades / day694.6
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 87 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz Zizou Bergs 6¢ 10¢ $519 $906 +$387 (+75%)
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 94¢ 90¢ $417 $398 −$18 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 40 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 17 $9 +$231 +2648%
Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Swiatek Jun 17 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $40 −$40 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$31 -103%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Jun 17 $2 +$12 +520%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$5 -192%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondar Jun 17 $1 −$111 -8500%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Kayseri: Alana Subasic vs Irem Kurt Jun 17 $30 −$14 -48%
Prostejov: Alexander Shevchenko vs Raul Brancaccio Jun 17 $1 +$159 +25316%
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Jesper de Jong Jun 17 $0 +$9 +2154%
Chisinau: Daniil Glinka vs Liam Broady Jun 17 $188 +$146 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$4 -108%
Paris: Shuai Zhang vs Himeno Sakatsume Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Alex Molcan Jun 17 $28 +$413 +1478%
Kosice: Dali Blanch vs Sandro Kopp Jun 17 $2 −$2 -112%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 17 $51 −$50 -100%
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milic Jun 17 $0 −$42 -18383%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 17 $11 +$1,030 +9702%
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakova Jun 17 $0 +$386 +1012312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 17 $0 +$32 +54512%
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastas Jun 17 $49 −$64 -129%
ITF Focsani: Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni vs Sophie Greiner Jun 17 $16 −$18 -114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 17 $20,671 +$183 +1%
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $11,000 +$100 +1%
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $500 +$4 +1%
Figueira Da Foz: Jeline Vandromme vs Allura Zamarripa Jun 16 $1,920 +$9 +0%
Brescia: Carole Monnet vs Martina Trevisan Jun 16 $2,750 +$25 +1%
HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Jun 16 $7,078 +$115 +2%
Nottingham Open: Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 16 $13,651 +$453 +3%
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovic Jun 16 $5,665 +$125 +2%
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Jun 16 $1,836 −$5 -0%
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 16 $7,340 −$27 -0%
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron Jun 16 $5,552 +$336 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Zizou Bergs 7¢ $2 0m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Zizou Bergs 7¢ $28 0m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz BUY Zizou Bergs 6¢ $283 1m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz BUY Zizou Bergs 6¢ $36 1m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Zizou Bergs 4¢ $2 2m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Zizou Bergs 4¢ $30 2m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Zizou Bergs 4¢ $10 2m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Zizou Bergs 4¢ $24 2m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 94¢ $339 3m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz BUY Zizou Bergs 6¢ $328 3m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 94¢ $3 3m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 94¢ $167 4m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 91¢ $101 4m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 85¢ $23 5m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 85¢ $4 5m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 85¢ $23 5m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 85¢ $23 5m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 85¢ $344 5m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 90¢ $24 5m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 90¢ $106 5m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 91¢ $25 6m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 91¢ $5 6m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz BUY Zizou Bergs 8¢ $7 6m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 93¢ $46 6m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 93¢ $722 6m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 92¢ $136 8m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 91¢ $111 8m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 91¢ $21 8m
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 91¢ $3 8m
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala SELL Alexandra Eala 100¢ $11,100 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,303.91 · official $1,303.91 (match) · 3500 history records