Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:24:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd0b2…0c95
weather · 1395 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$444 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$443 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,157
Realized+$443
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1355 / 2
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions37
Markets (closed)1357 / 1395
History coverage26d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day81.4
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 37 History 1357 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days−$29
14 days+$32
30 days+$443
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or below on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 85°F or below on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $66 $66 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Griekspoor vs. Zandschulp: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Tseng vs. Skatov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Zoldakova vs. Tupitsyna: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 11? Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $62 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on June 12? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Boyer (-1.5) vs Izquierdo (+1.5) Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 11? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 11? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 12 $65 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 12 $65 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 12 $65 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 11? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 11? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on June 11? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 11? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 11? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $66 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 63% +$439
sports 31% −$5
tech 4% +$5
politics 1% +$3
culture 1% +$1
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A BUY Noir Verse 100¢ $5 19m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $45 22m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $61 25m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $66 28m
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $66 29m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June BUY No 100¢ $66 29m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $66 29m
Counter-Strike: FUT Turkuaz vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Fire Flux Esports 100¢ $5 46m
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $30 1h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $22 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $66 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $66 1h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $66 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $66 1h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $66 1h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 100¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 100¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 85°F or below on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $66 2h
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 100¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 100¢ $4 2h
Map Handicap: ex-MANA (-1.5) vs Clutchain (+1.5) BUY Clutchain 100¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $66 3h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $66 3h
Set Handicap: Boyer (-1.5) vs Izquierdo (+1.5) BUY Izquierdo 100¢ $66 3h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $66 4h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $66 4h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $66 4h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $17 5h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $49 5h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $66 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 401 -0.1% -9.6% 100% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 1357 +1.2% -8.5% 100% 1% -9.0%
≤90d 1357 +1.2% -8.5% 100% 1% -9.0%
all 1357 +1.2% -8.5% 100% 1% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover81.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 1% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 1% -17.7%
15% -25.2% 1% -25.7%
20% -32.5% 1% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,156.70 · official $2,156.70 (match) · 3500 history records