Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:11:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
D0 0xd0bd…c082 crypto 1577 markets active 17h ago coverage 117d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 116d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$451 (+1%) realized +$451 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR75%break-even
Win rate78%1237W / 340L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day14.5pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$98
7 days+$115
14 days+$203
30 days+$322
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$23
other 0% +$7
world 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -0.8% -10.2% 79% 72% -4.2%
≤30d 357 +1.1% -8.6% 80% 78% -4.9%
≤90d 1104 +0.3% -9.2% 79% 76% -9.2%
all 1577 -0.1% -9.6% 78% 75% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 75% -9.5%
10% -18.2% 43% -18.1%
15% -26.1% 11% -26.0%
20% -33.4% 3% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$18 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

117d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$451
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses1237 / 340
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1577 / 1577
History coverage117d ⚠
Avg bet$20
Trades / day14.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1577 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2PM ET Jun 19 $17 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9AM ET Jun 19 $73 +$23 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7AM ET Jun 19 $72 +$18 +25%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 19 $5 +$1 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 19 $6 +$1 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 19 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6PM ET Jun 18 $17 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5PM ET Jun 18 $36 +$8 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4PM ET Jun 18 $35 +$6 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3PM ET Jun 18 $12 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2PM ET Jun 18 $35 +$8 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9AM ET Jun 18 $35 +$6 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET Jun 18 $52 +$8 +16%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $6 +$1 +19%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $51 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 18 $67 +$22 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET Jun 18 $27 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET Jun 18 $17 −$6 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 18 $67 +$9 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $8 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$3 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8AM ET Jun 17 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $71 +$14 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$6 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET Jun 17 $28 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET Jun 17 $98 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10PM ET Jun 17 $77 −$72 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET Jun 17 $23 +$6 +27%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +19%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$21 +20%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12PM ET Jun 16 $87 +$23 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $66 +$12 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $70 +$15 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET Jun 15 $18 −$16 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8AM ET Jun 15 $101 +$25 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $17 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $73 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $72 23h
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 25h
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 29h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $6 33h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $6 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $17 36h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $36 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $35 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $12 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $35 40h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $41 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $35 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $52 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 46h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 46h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $51 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $67 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $17 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $27 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $67 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records