Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:06:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd0c3…dde1
sports · 529 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$194 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$238 · open −$45
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$238
Unrealized−$45
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses185 / 311
Est. fees paid−$109
Open positions12
Markets (closed)496 / 529
History coverage133d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day10.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 12 History 496 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$113
7 days+$146
14 days+$164
30 days+$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 5¢ 2¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-60%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 36¢ 22¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-38%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Raphinha: 1+ assists Yes 32¢ 25¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-22%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 22¢ 6¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-70%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-99%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes 12¢ 1¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-92%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Over 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-99%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Over 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5 Under 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5 Under 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? No 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Levante UD vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Over 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $68 +$32 +46%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $10 +$22 +215%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $15 +$6 +42%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 +$20 +1923%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$29 +2859%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $6 +$2 +29%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $3 +$4 +136%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $30 +$6 +20%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $16 −$16 -98%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Korea Republic win on 202 Jun 12 $1 +$3 +250%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 +$12 +236%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -92%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 +$6 +303%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$4 +123%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $11 +$4 +37%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $102 +$51 +50%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $1 +$16 +1521%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $3 +$8 +274%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $10 +$9 +92%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 Jun 04 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $9 −$9 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $49 −$48 -98%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5 May 30 $8 −$8 -97%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5 May 30 $11 −$11 -97%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 30 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $3 +$13 +410%
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? May 23 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $18 +$10 +53%
Will Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? May 23 $13 −$8 -61%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $2 −$2 -97%
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 May 23 $51 +$12 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% +$644
other 22% −$117
world 12% −$316
crypto 0% −$14
politics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 85¢ $7 5m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 5¢ $10 7m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners SELL Over 35¢ $32 9m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 11¢ $10 10m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Net BUY 12¢ $2 15m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $5 21m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 36¢ $5 22m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Net BUY 9¢ $2 23m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Net BUY 6¢ $3 26m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Hai BUY 17¢ $1 34m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY 22¢ $1 44m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 30¢ $2 52m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 18¢ $0 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 18¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 18¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 9¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 20¢ $7 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 18¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 11¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 6¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 34¢ $22 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 64¢ $91 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 39¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 46¢ $15 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +110.9% +90.8% 45% 45% +29.0%
≤30d 72 +63.2% +47.7% 38% 38% -0.5%
≤90d 430 +18.3% +7.1% 38% 37% -3.6%
all 496 +14.1% +3.2% 37% 36% -5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.2% 36% -5.3%
10% -6.7% 32% -14.4%
15% -15.7% 28% -22.7%
20% -24.0% 24% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.67 · official $35.70 · 1452 history records