Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:36:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd0db…02a1
other · 106 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$43 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$44 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses4 / 102
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)106 / 106
History coverage109d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 0 History 106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bucks vs. Clippers Bucks 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Nets Nets 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Suns Hornets 64¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Nets vs. Heat Nets 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Pacers vs. Spurs Pacers 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Pelicans vs. Knicks Pelicans 24¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $8 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $63 $0 -0%
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? May 30 $69 $0 -0%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 26 $71 $0 -0%
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $59 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 17 $155 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 14 $66 $0 -0%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? May 07 $55 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 05 $71 $0 -0%
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? May 04 $66 $0 -0%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? May 04 $63 $0 -0%
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 03 $52 $0 -0%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? May 03 $77 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 02 $73 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? May 02 $73 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 01 $69 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 01 $62 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 30 $60 $0 -0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 30 $74 $0 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 27 $54 $0 -0%
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 27 $69 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 26 $77 $0 -0%
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 26 $63 $0 -0%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 24 $55 $0 -0%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 24 $77 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 24 $67 $0 -0%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 22 $63 $0 -0%
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 21 $75 $0 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 21 $67 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 20 $61 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 20 $53 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April? Apr 20 $72 $0 -0%
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 20 $61 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 20 $14 $0 -0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $52 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 18 $7 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 17 $7 $0 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 17 $7 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $5 $0 -0%
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 16 $7 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 15 $6 $0 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 14 $6 $0 -0%
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 14 $8 $0 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $7 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 13 $6 $0 -0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 13 $6 $0 -0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 13 $6 $0 -0%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $7 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Apr 12 $7 $0 -0%
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 12 $6 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 44% −$2
other 43% −$2
crypto 6% $0
sports 5% −$41
world 0% $0
economics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $8 1h
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $8 2d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 7d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 8d
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $54 14d
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $54 19d
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $71 19d
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $71 20d
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $53 22d
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $53 24d
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $72 28d
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $72 31d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $60 31d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $60 37d
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $55 37d
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $55 38d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $53 39d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $53 39d
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $65 39d
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $65 40d
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $75 40d
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $75 40d
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $60 41d
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $60 41d
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $63 41d
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $63 41d
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $52 41d
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $52 41d
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $77 42d
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $77 42d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 6 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 101 -4.1% -13.2% 2% 0% -10.2%
all 106 -5.1% -14.2% 4% 1% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.2% 1% -10.8%
10% -22.4% 1% -19.4%
15% -29.9% 1% -27.1%
20% -36.8% 1% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 282 history records