Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:02:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd0eb…3724
world · 7 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$18 +64%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)3 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 4 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 71¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+54%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-23%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 +$21 +414%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% +$14
sports 36% +$5
world 18% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 1h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $10 2h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 3¢ $2 24h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 24h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 24h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+55.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +71.3% +55.0% 33% 33% +87.9%
≤30d 3 +71.3% +55.0% 33% 33% +87.9%
≤90d 3 +71.3% +55.0% 33% 33% +87.9%
all 3 +71.3% +55.0% 33% 33% +87.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +55.0% 33% +87.9%
10% +40.1% 33% +69.9%
15% +26.6% 33% +53.5%
20% +14.2% 33% +38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.75 · official $19.75 (match) · 9 history records