Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:04:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd0ee…b834
sports · 3 markets active 1d ago
5.0score
+$245,140 +604%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$245,140 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$245,140
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$784
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
Avg bet$13,537
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$254,775
7 days+$254,775
14 days+$245,120
30 days+$245,120
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $9,655 $0 −$9,655 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $30,548 +$254,775 +834%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $10,042 −$9,655 -96%
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker? Nov 09 $23 +$20 +89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% +$254,775
crypto 25% −$9,655
other 0% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 70¢ $302 28h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 70¢ $72 28h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 70¢ $88 28h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 70¢ $46 28h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 70¢ $30 28h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 70¢ $488 28h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 6¢ $4,587 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 6¢ $5,961 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 17¢ $106 30h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 17¢ $19,894 30h
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $95 10d
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $9,946 10d
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker? BUY No 53¢ $23 276d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+238.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +834.0% +745.1% 100% 100% +745.1%
≤30d 2 +367.0% +322.5% 50% 50% +542.1%
≤90d 2 +367.0% +322.5% 50% 50% +542.1%
all 3 +274.2% +238.6% 67% 67% +541.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +238.6% 67% +541.9%
10% ← realistic here +206.2% 67% +480.4%
15% +176.6% 67% +424.3%
20% +149.5% 67% +372.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 16 history records