Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:47:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd0ff…eb28
crypto · 11 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$64 -44%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$69 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$69
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses2 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day16.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$69
7 days−$69
14 days−$69
30 days−$69
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$13 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$10 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $58 −$55 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$69
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-34.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -27.8% -34.7% 18% 18% -53.8%
≤30d 11 -27.8% -34.7% 18% 18% -53.8%
≤90d 11 -27.8% -34.7% 18% 18% -53.8%
all 11 -27.8% -34.7% 18% 18% -53.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -34.7% 18% -53.8%
10% -40.9% 18% -58.2%
15% -46.6% 18% -62.2%
20% -51.9% 18% -65.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 20 history records