Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:59:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd117…d712
crypto · 1093 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,312 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,313 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$3,313
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses576 / 566
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1142 / 1093
History coverage16d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day178.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 1 History 1142 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11,495
7 days−$12,087
14 days−$8,248
30 days−$3,313
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 45¢ 46¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10PM ET Jun 13 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12PM ET Jun 13 $230 −$230 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $170 −$170 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$9 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 12AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$34 -132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 11AM ET Jun 13 $270 −$270 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$7,977
other 4% +$227
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 505 -43.3% -48.7% 31% 29% -41.0%
≤30d 1142 -6.9% -15.7% 50% 47% -13.5%
≤90d 1142 -6.9% -15.7% 50% 47% -13.5%
all 1142 -6.9% -15.7% 50% 47% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover178.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 47% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 43% -21.8%
15% -31.2% 39% -29.3%
20% -37.9% 36% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.32 · official $5.67 (match) · 3500 history records