Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:30:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd11a…f206
crypto · 371 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14,247 -93%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14,247 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$14,247
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses172 / 512
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)684 / 371
History coverage28d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day120.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 684 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15,123
7 days−$15,144
14 days−$14,931
30 days−$14,247
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$28 -118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 9? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $281 −$281 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $122 −$122 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $223 −$223 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $140 −$140 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$1,472
sports 7% +$22
weather 0% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $7 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 15m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-50.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 455 -68.7% -71.7% 12% 11% -83.2%
≤30d 684 -45.1% -50.3% 25% 23% -51.7%
≤90d 684 -45.1% -50.3% 25% 23% -51.7%
all 684 -45.1% -50.3% 25% 23% -51.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover120.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.3% 23% -51.7%
10% ← realistic here -55.1% 22% -56.3%
15% -59.4% 21% -60.5%
20% -63.4% 17% -64.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records