trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 100% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 100% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 100% | 0% | -8.9% |
| all | 12 | -9.2% | -17.8% | 67% | 8% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.8% | 8% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -25.7% | 8% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -32.9% | 8% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -39.4% | 8% | -33.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 99¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 17? | Jun 29 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 18? | Apr 15 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $60 on February 28? | Mar 18 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $40 on February 12? | Feb 27 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2? | Feb 10 | $10 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 3? | Feb 10 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Pistons vs. Hawks | Sep 25 | $6 | +$4 | +72% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Jan 21 | $594 | +$6 | +1% |
| Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election? | Nov 11 | $10 | −$7 | -76% |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga? | Nov 11 | $9 | −$2 | -19% |
| World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 4 | Nov 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Oct 16 | $580 | −$1 | -0% |