Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T00:08:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D1 0xd128…b232 crypto 100 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$13,402 (-118%) realized −$16,067 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -85% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -88% what you keep after slip
Net edge-88%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate3%15W / 581L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$114per market
Trades / day3404.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16,067
7 days−$16,067
14 days−$16,067
30 days−$16,067
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$655
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-86.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 596 -84.8% -86.3% 3% 1% -63.8%
≤30d 596 -84.8% -86.3% 3% 1% -63.8%
≤90d 596 -84.8% -86.3% 3% 1% -63.8%
all 596 -84.8% -86.3% 3% 1% -63.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3404.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -86.3% 1% -63.8%
10% ← realistic here -87.6% 0% -67.2%
15% -88.8% 0% -70.4%
20% -89.9% 0% -73.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 39% · top 2 76% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -60% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
73% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -85% · $-wt -60% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -70% → late -100% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
34.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$28 · ×0.23 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.01 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$16,067
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses15 / 581
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)596 / 100
History coverage1d
Avg bet$114
Trades / day3404.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 596 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $753 $0 −$753 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $69 −$69 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $753 −$753 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $48 −$48 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $33 −$33 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $9 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $0 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records