trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 25% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 25% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 32 | +3.8% | -6.1% | 47% | 12% | -10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.1% | 12% | -10.2% |
| 10% | -15.1% | 12% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -23.3% | 6% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -30.8% | 6% | -33.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 23 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Jun 03 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Jun 02 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 02 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 30 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 30 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 29 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98000 on May 16? | May 17 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 15 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump signs national abortion ban? | Apr 14 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | Apr 14 | $4 | +$1 | +23% |
| Will Amazon buy TikTok? | Apr 13 | $3 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 23 | $1 | $0 | +29% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $87000 and $89000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $89000 and $91000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $23 | −$6 | -27% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 12 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 11 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 67°F or higher on March 8? | Mar 11 | $17 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Trump's 2025 joint address get >46m viewers? | Mar 07 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump's 2025 joint address get 42-46m viewers? | Mar 05 | $1 | +$2 | +158% |
| Colorado vs. Texas Tech | Mar 05 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump's 2025 joint address get 38-42m viewers? | Mar 05 | $14 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on March 5? | Mar 05 | $14 | −$1 | -8% |
| DePaul vs. Providence | Mar 05 | $18 | −$2 | -11% |
| Wisconsin vs. Minnesota | Mar 04 | $24 | −$6 | -25% |
| Timberwolves vs. Hornets | Mar 04 | $56 | −$3 | -6% |
| Bodo Glimt vs. FC Twente | Mar 04 | $10 | +$18 | +170% |