trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 88% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 25 | +7.3% | -2.9% | 96% | 20% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.9% | 20% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -12.2% | 4% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -20.7% | 4% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -28.5% | 4% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $8,661 | $8,657 | −$4 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | Jun 23 | $8,702 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 27 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Contr | Apr 27 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 27 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Apr 27 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in January? | Apr 27 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Apr 27 | $4 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Apr 27 | $4 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | Jan 07 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jan 07 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game | Jan 07 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? | Dec 08 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Dec 08 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on September 24? | Nov 04 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September? | Nov 04 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin above $112K on August 20? | Sep 24 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August? | Sep 24 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists? | Aug 19 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of EPL? | Aug 19 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Aug 19 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Western Con | Aug 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Pam Bondi be Trump's Attorney General? | Mar 13 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary? | Mar 13 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Dec 17 | $7,374 | +$8 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Dec 17 | $2 | +$2 | +70% |