Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd13e…577e
sports · 77 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$42 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24 · open −$66
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$118
Realized+$24
Unrealized−$66
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses26 / 20
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions31
Markets (closed)46 / 77
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day259.0
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 31 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$24
14 days+$24
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 44¢ 100¢ $15 $34 +$19 (+125%)
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 Under 61¢ 100¢ $7 $11 +$4 (+63%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Virtus.pro 32¢ 100¢ $2 $7 +$5 (+210%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Nemiga Gaming 54¢ 100¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+84%)
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner Level UP 56¢ 100¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+79%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 62¢ 49¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-21%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 60¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+67%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Alicia Dudeney 34¢ 40¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+19%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 58¢ 90¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+55%)
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro Camilla Gennaro 47¢ 47¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Nemiga Gaming 54¢ 65¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+20%)
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Pia Lovric Eva Bennemann 60¢ 52¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-12%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Kiwoom Heroes 39¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+156%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 65¢ 70¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner Clutchain 56¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+78%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 65¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+54%)
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Pia Lovric Pia Lovric 37¢ 48¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 48¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 80¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 33¢ 38¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+17%)
Cattolica (Doubles): Grevelius/Heinonen vs Jong/Hermans Grevelius/Heinonen 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 33¢ 34¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Bohemians Dublin FC win on 2026-06-12? No 61¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? No 41¢ 41¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Under 57¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Set 2 Winner: Shelton vs Giron Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
ITF San Gregorio: Elena Korokozidi vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$3 +188%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $11 −$1 -7%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $16 +$5 +35%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 12 $5 −$3 -62%
Gea vs. Lajal: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $15 −$8 -52%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 12 $9 −$4 -48%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$2 +78%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $11 −$9 -85%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Madrid: Marta Soriano Santiago vs Margaux Maquet Jun 12 $2 +$1 +73%
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$9 +419%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $17 +$3 +17%
Borges vs. Cilic: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Zhang vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Monastir: Sun Min Ha vs Alice Battesti Jun 12 $1 +$3 +250%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$4 +58%
ITF Kayseri: Laurence Teunissen vs Haydar Cem Gokpinar Jun 12 $3 −$1 -43%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$16 +1521%
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic Jun 12 $9 +$3 +28%
ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Aristotelis Thanos Jun 12 $1 +$7 +650%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$6 -74%
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac (BO3) - The International China Open Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sandra Samir Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Monastir: Lourdes Ayala vs Chiara Fornasieri Jun 12 $2 +$2 +95%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic Jun 12 $7 +$6 +87%
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Santiago vs Maquet Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $15 +$4 +23%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $37 +$8 +22%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $7 +$2 +34%
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mayuka Aikawa Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$42
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Pia Lovric BUY Eva Bennemann 69¢ $1 1m
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pablo Perez Ramos BUY Alberto Barroso Campos 81¢ $1 5m
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Pia Lovric BUY Eva Bennemann 63¢ $1 6m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Alicia Dudeney 52¢ $1 7m
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Pia Lovric BUY Eva Bennemann 56¢ $1 8m
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Pia Lovric BUY Eva Bennemann 53¢ $1 9m
Cattolica (Doubles): Grevelius/Heinonen vs Jong/Hermans BUY Grevelius/Heinonen 94¢ $1 12m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Alicia Dudeney 32¢ $1 14m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Alicia Dudeney 31¢ $1 15m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Alicia Dudeney 29¢ $1 15m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Andreea Prisacariu 68¢ $1 16m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner BUY Clutchain 56¢ $1 18m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 57¢ $1 22m
ITF Nice: Tatiana Pieri vs Alina Granwehr BUY Tatiana Pieri 23¢ $1 23m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY ex-MANA eSports 26¢ $1 26m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY ex-MANA eSports 31¢ $1 27m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY ex-MANA eSports 37¢ $1 27m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-MANA eSports 44¢ $1 29m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-MANA eSports 45¢ $1 29m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 73¢ $1 37m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 61¢ $1 37m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 58¢ $1 37m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 73¢ $6 37m
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Nemiga Gaming 60¢ $1 40m
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Nemiga Gaming 61¢ $1 40m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 56¢ $1 41m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY ex-MANA eSports 24¢ $1 45m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Camilla Gennaro 47¢ $1 48m
Set 2 Winner: Shelton vs Giron BUY Shelton 98¢ $1 49m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Camilla Gennaro 47¢ $1 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+33.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 +47.2% +33.2% 57% 50% -0.0%
≤30d 46 +47.2% +33.2% 57% 50% -0.0%
≤90d 46 +47.2% +33.2% 57% 50% -0.0%
all 46 +47.2% +33.2% 57% 50% -0.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover259.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +33.2% 50% -0.0%
10% ← realistic here +20.4% 41% -9.6%
15% +8.8% 28% -18.3%
20% -1.9% 24% -26.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $117.98 · official $117.41 (match) · 312 history records