| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? |
Jun 20 |
$2,086 |
+$2,260 |
+108% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
Jun 17 |
$2,034 |
−$785 |
-39% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? |
Jun 17 |
$6,417 |
−$874 |
-14% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra |
Jun 15 |
$6,624 |
+$3,154 |
+48% |
| Will anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner? |
May 30 |
$15 |
−$15 |
-100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? |
May 30 |
$4,410 |
−$2,331 |
-53% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? |
May 30 |
$2,001 |
−$2,001 |
-100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me |
May 30 |
$881 |
−$881 |
-100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? |
May 27 |
$2,112 |
+$252 |
+12% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? |
May 26 |
$523 |
−$523 |
-100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? |
May 24 |
$3,939 |
−$510 |
-13% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31? |
May 23 |
$597 |
−$169 |
-28% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? |
May 21 |
$4,103 |
+$396 |
+10% |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? |
May 21 |
$1,550 |
−$1,550 |
-100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? |
May 14 |
$9,693 |
+$2,004 |
+21% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
May 08 |
$2,841 |
+$107 |
+4% |
| Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? |
May 07 |
$2,552 |
+$1,992 |
+78% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? |
May 03 |
$363 |
+$94 |
+26% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? |
May 01 |
$5,036 |
+$3,395 |
+67% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? |
May 01 |
$2,780 |
+$543 |
+20% |
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? |
May 01 |
$8 |
+$1 |
+11% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? |
May 01 |
$299 |
+$163 |
+55% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? |
Apr 29 |
$648 |
+$1,089 |
+168% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? |
Apr 27 |
$850 |
+$127 |
+15% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? |
Apr 26 |
$812 |
+$376 |
+46% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? |
Apr 25 |
$2,380 |
+$328 |
+14% |
| Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? |
Apr 24 |
$217 |
−$171 |
-79% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Apr 24 |
$55 |
−$10 |
-19% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Apr 24 |
$95 |
−$16 |
-17% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? |
Apr 24 |
$391 |
+$120 |
+31% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? |
Apr 22 |
$2,812 |
−$471 |
-17% |
| Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? |
Apr 21 |
$100 |
+$166 |
+166% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? |
Apr 18 |
$1,218 |
+$962 |
+79% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? |
Apr 15 |
$2,054 |
+$26 |
+1% |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? |
Apr 12 |
$50 |
−$50 |
-100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? |
Apr 12 |
$1,801 |
−$555 |
-31% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? |
Apr 11 |
$150 |
+$36 |
+24% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
Apr 11 |
$56 |
−$7 |
-12% |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? |
Apr 08 |
$47 |
−$47 |
-100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me |
Apr 08 |
$347 |
−$347 |
-100% |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
Apr 08 |
$20 |
−$20 |
-100% |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by March 31, 2026? |
Apr 08 |
$51 |
−$51 |
-100% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? |
Apr 08 |
$126 |
−$126 |
-100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? |
Apr 08 |
$4,230 |
−$3,579 |
-85% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa |
Apr 08 |
$69 |
−$69 |
-100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? |
Apr 01 |
$3,700 |
−$316 |
-8% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? |
Mar 24 |
$600 |
−$115 |
-19% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? |
Mar 22 |
$1,500 |
−$175 |
-12% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? |
Mar 22 |
$1,978 |
−$44 |
-2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? |
Mar 21 |
$528 |
+$67 |
+13% |