Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:18:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd155…8250
sports · 414 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$256 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$183 · open −$72
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$728
Realized−$183
Unrealized−$72
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses195 / 188
Est. fees paid−$101
Open positions40
Markets (closed)383 / 414
History coverage4d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day580.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 40 History 383 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$393
7 days−$183
14 days−$183
30 days−$183
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 93¢ 88¢ $85 $79 −$5 (-6%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 43¢ 44¢ $63 $64 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 62¢ 100¢ $36 $57 +$22 (+61%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 76¢ 100¢ $33 $43 +$10 (+31%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 63¢ 19¢ $132 $40 −$92 (-70%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 50¢ 52¢ $38 $39 +$2 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 69¢ 100¢ $23 $34 +$10 (+44%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 67¢ 78¢ $26 $30 +$5 (+18%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 65¢ 72¢ $26 $28 +$2 (+9%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 78¢ 81¢ $26 $27 +$1 (+4%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 49¢ 48¢ $25 $24 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 54¢ 100¢ $12 $23 +$10 (+85%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 42¢ $21 $20 −$1 (-3%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 86¢ 81¢ $19 $18 −$1 (-6%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 58¢ 60¢ $17 $17 +$1 (+3%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 39¢ 34¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-14%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? No 34¢ 34¢ $17 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 61¢ 70¢ $12 $14 +$2 (+15%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 80¢ 81¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+1%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 57¢ 100¢ $7 $12 +$5 (+76%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 35¢ 30¢ $12 $10 −$2 (-14%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 90¢ 100¢ $8 $8 +$1 (+11%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 42¢ 100¢ $3 $8 +$5 (+137%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 20¢ 20¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? No 78¢ 50¢ $11 $7 −$4 (-35%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-25? Jun 12 $0 $0 +16%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $2 +$3 +140%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 −$42 -171%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $13 +$12 +92%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$4 +17%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $8 +$3 +34%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $30 −$16 -54%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 +$2 +39%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $4 +$3 +90%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 $0 -4%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $113 +$59 +52%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $24 +$23 +93%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $42 +$15 +36%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $17 −$1 -4%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $15 +$5 +34%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $15 +$3 +19%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $20 +$2 +12%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $30 −$2 -7%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $7 +$1 +13%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $36 −$15 -42%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $33 +$16 +49%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $45 +$10 +23%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $15 −$8 -54%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) Jun 12 $27 −$3 -12%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $19 −$5 -25%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $17 −$15 -88%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $45 −$8 -19%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $47 +$28 +59%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $101 −$44 -44%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $15 +$21 +140%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$2 +47%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $7 +$5 +75%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$279
other 3% +$20
world 0% −$5
tech 0% +$1
crypto 0% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 24¢ $3 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 77¢ $5 2m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 34¢ $1 2m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 68¢ $6 2m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 34¢ $3 3m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 85¢ $6 3m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 72¢ $3 5m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 81¢ $7 5m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 48¢ $3 5m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 42¢ $3 5m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 52¢ $4 6m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 54¢ $4 7m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $2 7m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 78¢ $5 7m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 63¢ $2 8m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 38¢ $1 9m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 60¢ $3 9m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 59¢ $5 9m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 79¢ $2 11m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 54¢ $1 11m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 36¢ $2 12m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 77¢ $3 13m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 78¢ $10 17m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 78¢ $2 17m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 25¢ $2 17m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 44¢ $1 17m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 76¢ $1 18m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 46¢ $3 18m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 73¢ $1 19m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 40¢ $4 20m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 383 -5.2% -14.2% 51% 46% -11.4%
≤30d 383 -5.2% -14.2% 51% 46% -11.4%
≤90d 383 -5.2% -14.2% 51% 46% -11.4%
all 383 -5.2% -14.2% 51% 46% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover580.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 46% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 38% -19.9%
15% -29.9% 30% -27.6%
20% -36.8% 20% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $727.94 · official $726.03 (match) · 3500 history records