trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -10.2% | -18.7% | 63% | 47% | -22.6% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -10.2% | -18.7% | 63% | 47% | -22.6% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -10.2% | -18.7% | 63% | 47% | -22.6% |
| all | 19 | -10.2% | -18.7% | 63% | 47% | -22.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.7% | 47% | -22.6% |
| 10% | -26.5% | 5% | -30.0% |
| 15% | -33.6% | 5% | -36.8% |
| 20% | -40.1% | 0% | -43.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 15? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+19%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 16? | Yes | 35¢ | 37¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 16? | Yes | 28¢ | 25¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-11%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 16? | Yes | 23¢ | 25¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+9%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 15? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-95%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 14? | Jun 15 | $102 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 14? | Jun 15 | $27 | +$3 | +13% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime? | Jun 14 | $4 | +$1 | +15% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $4 | +$1 | +19% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $103 | −$84 | -81% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13? | Jun 14 | $8 | +$1 | +20% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $6 | +$2 | +36% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? | Jun 14 | $4 | +$1 | +22% |
| Brazil leading at halftime? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| United States leading at halftime? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $99 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $19 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -77% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 | Jun 11 | $109 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 11 | $8 | +$1 | +18% |
| Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $3 | $0 | -2% |