trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +4.8% | -5.2% | 50% | 50% | -3.2% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +8.3% | -2.0% | 50% | 50% | -3.9% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +8.3% | -2.0% | 50% | 50% | -3.9% |
| all | 27 | -10.0% | -18.5% | 44% | 41% | -16.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.5% | 41% | -16.5% |
| 10% | -26.3% | 41% | -24.4% |
| 15% | -33.5% | 33% | -31.7% |
| 20% | -40.0% | 30% | -38.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $105 | +$54 | +51% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo | Jun 19 | $21 | +$16 | +76% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $53 | +$49 | +93% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $42 | −$39 | -92% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $21 | +$13 | +64% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $53 | −$42 | -80% |
| Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $105 | −$12 | -11% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$6 | -26% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $105 | +$73 | +70% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $158 | −$60 | -38% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $53 | +$27 | +51% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $21 | +$21 | +97% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$15 | -70% |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | Jun 12 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $21 | +$31 | +149% |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | Mar 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B | Mar 19 | $24 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 26? | Mar 19 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner | Mar 19 | $28 | +$10 | +35% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winner | Mar 19 | $20 | +$10 | +49% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Mar 19 | $17 | +$4 | +26% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Mar 17 | $20 | −$7 | -35% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Mar 15 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Mar 01 | $10 | −$9 | -86% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 28 | $99 | −$95 | -96% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Feb 28 | $50 | −$46 | -92% |