Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:10:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd1a8…6427
sports · 42 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$989 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,814 · open −$2,933
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,583
Realized−$11,814
Unrealized−$2,933
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses13 / 25
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Est. fees paid−$1,133
Open positions4
Markets (closed)38 / 42
History coverage11d
Avg bet$2,787
Trades / day85.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,143
7 days−$5,194
14 days−$11,814
30 days−$11,814
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 94¢ 100¢ $3,373 $3,579 +$206 (+6%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Top Esports 38¢ 0¢ $1,101 $1 −$1,100 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Top Esports 46¢ 0¢ $918 $1 −$917 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 37¢ 0¢ $389 $1 −$389 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 53¢ 0¢ $528 $0 −$527 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 34¢ 0¢ $272 $0 −$272 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 46¢ 0¢ $471 $0 −$471 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 38¢ 0¢ $153 $0 −$153 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 65¢ 0¢ $564 $0 −$564 (-100%)
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 2 Winner XLG Gaming 56¢ 0¢ $1,004 $0 −$1,004 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 23¢ 0¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 32¢ 0¢ $229 $0 −$229 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 68¢ 0¢ $2,432 $0 −$2,432 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner FlyQuest 51¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner EDward Gaming 17¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 1 Winner XLG Gaming 23¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 45¢ 0¢ $461 $0 −$461 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 34¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 54¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 54¢ 0¢ $947 $0 −$947 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 1 Winner M80 21¢ 0¢ $542 $0 −$542 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 59¢ 0¢ $530 $0 −$530 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 54¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Karmine Corp 34¢ 0¢ $1,158 $0 −$1,158 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 2 Winner M80 63¢ 0¢ $3,088 $0 −$3,088 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $4,470 −$2,445 -55%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,694 −$17 -1%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $3,996 −$433 -11%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $5,500 +$359 +6%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2,031 +$690 +34%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $3,221 −$564 -18%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $3,287 −$267 -8%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2,216 −$116 -5%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $5,528 −$966 -18%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $262 +$81 +31%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $4,095 +$535 +13%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1,545 −$153 -10%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,605 −$460 -18%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $570 −$340 -60%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $1,973 +$179 +9%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2,410 +$175 +7%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $4,490 −$397 -9%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $1,628 −$1,056 -65%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $753 +$45 +6%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $814 +$98 +12%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $633 +$153 +24%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $7,560 −$745 -10%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $2,280 −$229 -10%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $4,017 −$29 -1%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $560 +$40 +7%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 06 $169 −$68 -40%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $2,557 −$981 -38%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $4,426 −$196 -4%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 06 $158 −$155 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,543 −$272 -18%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $353 +$75 +21%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1,962 +$327 +17%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,710 −$461 -27%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 03 $6,974 −$3,052 -44%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 03 $3,433 −$816 -24%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $1,497 −$297 -20%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $2,366 +$45 +2%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $1,871 −$100 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$14,747
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 94¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 94¢ $565 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 94¢ $16 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 95¢ $571 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 95¢ $571 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 94¢ $28 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 94¢ $80 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 95¢ $570 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 93¢ $136 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 94¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 94¢ $28 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 94¢ $124 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 92¢ $90 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 92¢ $12 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 92¢ $12 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 93¢ $0 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 93¢ $12 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 93¢ $546 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 92¢ $12 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $1,623 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 64¢ $50 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 64¢ $47 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 64¢ $39 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 64¢ $50 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 64¢ $50 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 64¢ $6 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 64¢ $40 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 64¢ $66 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 60¢ $219 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 60¢ $41 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-60.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -57.5% -61.5% 33% 17% -27.9%
≤30d 38 -56.3% -60.4% 34% 18% -35.1%
≤90d 38 -56.3% -60.4% 34% 18% -35.1%
all 38 -56.3% -60.4% 34% 18% -35.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover85.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -60.4% 18% -35.1%
10% -64.2% 8% -41.3%
15% ← realistic here -67.7% 0% -47.0%
20% -70.8% 0% -52.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,582.68 · official $3,582.68 (match) · 961 history records