Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T11:18:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D1 0xd1b0…d6c8 crypto 940 markets active 2d ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d only
✗ bot/MM pace (572 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,445 (-24%) realized −$1,445 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -56% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -66% what you keep after slip
Net edge-66%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate4%27W / 637L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day572.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$846
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (572 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-60.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 592 -61.3% -65.0% 2% 2% -36.3%
≤30d 664 -56.4% -60.6% 4% 3% -34.1%
≤90d 664 -56.4% -60.6% 4% 3% -34.1%
all 664 -56.4% -60.6% 4% 3% -34.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover572.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -60.6% 3% -34.1%
10% ← realistic here -64.4% 3% -40.4%
15% -67.8% 2% -46.1%
20% -71.0% 2% -51.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -22% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -56% · $-wt -22% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -40% → late -73% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$46 vs −$4 · ×10.95 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.47 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,445
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses27 / 637
Open positions0
Markets (closed)664 / 940
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day572.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 664 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 18 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$16 -812%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 18 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 18 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 18 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records