Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:45:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D1 0xd1b1…c0d9 crypto 1617 markets active 18h ago coverage 28d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 27d only
✗ bot/MM pace (98 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$56 (-1%) realized −$56 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate47%758W / 858L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day97.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$8
14 days−$78
30 days−$216
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$216
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (98 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 +4.4% -5.5% 64% 64% -5.0%
≤30d 1616 -6.2% -15.2% 47% 46% -14.4%
≤90d 1616 -6.2% -15.2% 47% 46% -14.4%
all 1616 -6.2% -15.2% 47% 46% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover97.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 46% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 45% -22.6%
15% -30.7% 45% -30.1%
20% -37.5% 43% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.99 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses758 / 858
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1616 / 1617
History coverage28d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day97.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1616 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +59%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records