Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T00:28:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D1 0xd1d1…a610 crypto 1467 markets active 0h ago coverage 39d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 38d only
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$171 (+0%) realized +$171 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%1446W / 21L
Drawdown49%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day52.1pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$46
14 days+$91
30 days+$128
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$134
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 271 +0.8% -8.8% 97% 0% -8.8%
≤30d 1057 +0.5% -9.1% 98% 0% -9.1%
≤90d 1467 +0.3% -9.3% 99% 0% -9.2%
all 1467 +0.3% -9.3% 99% 0% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 0% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$9 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.72 per $1 lost it wins $1.72
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

39d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$171
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1446 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1467 / 1467
History coverage39d ⚠
Avg bet$25
Trades / day52.1
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1467 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 27 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 27 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 26 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 26 $51 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 26 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 26 $51 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 26 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 26 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 26 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4PM ET Jun 26 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 26 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 26 $51 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 26 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 26 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 26 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 26 $51 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 26 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 26 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 26 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 26 $66 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 26 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 26 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 26 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 26 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 26 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 26 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 26 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 26 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 26 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 26 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 26 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 26 $28 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 26 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 26 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 26 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 26 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 26 $8 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $0 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $51 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records