Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd1d5…8d93
sports · 56 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$37 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$275 · open −$238
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$275
Unrealized−$238
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses29 / 25
Est. fees paid−$43
Open positions2
Markets (closed)54 / 56
History coverage7d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day19.5
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 54 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$91
7 days+$275
14 days+$275
30 days+$275
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 54¢ 0¢ $208 $2 −$206 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 20¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$21 +351%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $37 −$25 -68%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $15 +$16 +113%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $46 +$55 +119%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $31 +$18 +60%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $34 +$116 +344%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $21 +$112 +534%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $37 +$24 +65%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $136 +$56 +42%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $20 +$19 +97%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $15 +$5 +32%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $181 +$79 +44%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $214 +$182 +85%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $19 +$11 +60%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $32 +$23 +73%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $56 −$56 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $99 −$99 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $23 −$23 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $148 −$148 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $48 +$72 +152%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $39 +$28 +72%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $211 −$72 -34%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $116 +$42 +36%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $35 +$16 +47%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $18 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $16 +$5 +29%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $197 +$110 +56%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $16 −$11 -67%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $56 +$32 +57%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $14 +$30 +211%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $105 +$55 +52%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $18 −$1 -3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $16 +$9 +52%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $15 +$16 +105%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $12 +$14 +108%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $105 +$86 +82%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $12 +$9 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $92 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $9 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $7 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $11 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $20 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $21 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $43 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $32 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 45¢ $37 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 36¢ $3 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 36¢ $3 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 40¢ $19 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 44¢ $12 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 46¢ $37 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 22¢ $22 6h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 47¢ $4 7h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 47¢ $4 7h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 47¢ $3 7h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 47¢ $4 7h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $10 9h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 42¢ $15 9h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 26¢ $21 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 27¢ $44 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 22¢ $34 12h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $46 13h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 62¢ $31 13h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $37 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 15¢ $16 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 +20.6% +9.2% 54% 54% -0.5%
≤30d 54 +19.0% +7.7% 54% 54% -0.8%
≤90d 54 +19.0% +7.7% 54% 54% -0.8%
all 54 +19.0% +7.7% 54% 54% -0.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +7.7% 54% -0.8%
10% -2.6% 54% -10.3%
15% -12.0% 50% -19.0%
20% -20.7% 43% -26.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.02 · official $2.74 (match) · 190 history records