Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:48:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd1dc…5b3a
crypto · 50 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses30 / 19
Open positions1
Markets (closed)49 / 50
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day105.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 1 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 50¢ 84¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -60%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -77%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$6
other 12% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 4m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 8m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $2 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $2 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 14m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $2 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $0 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -15.3% -23.4% 61% 4% -21.4%
≤30d 49 -15.3% -23.4% 61% 4% -21.4%
≤90d 49 -15.3% -23.4% 61% 4% -21.4%
all 49 -15.3% -23.4% 61% 4% -21.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover105.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.4% 4% -21.4%
10% ← realistic here -30.7% 2% -28.9%
15% -37.4% 2% -35.8%
20% -43.6% 0% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.54 · official $1.94 (match) · 112 history records