Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:15:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd1e6…2c11
other · 178 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$656 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$662 · open +$41
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,041
Realized+$662
Unrealized+$41
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses120 / 48
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)168 / 178
History coverage585d
Avg bet$463
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 1 History 168 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$60
7 days+$101
14 days+$104
30 days+$104
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $1,000 $1,041 +$41 (+4%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-07? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Heat vs. Magic Heat 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Thunder 69¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) Aston Villa FC 59¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Suns Spurs 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $1,104 +$37 +3%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $1,707 +$23 +1%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $222 +$11 +5%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $101 +$28 +27%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +107%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $101 +$60 +60%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $107 −$90 -84%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Jun 12 $10 −$8 -81%
Spread: United States (-1.5) AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -75%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $15 +$36 +238%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 01 $20 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 01 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET May 01 $10 +$1 +7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Apr 30 $640 +$60 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Apr 18 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Apr 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Apr 18 $20 +$7 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Apr 18 $20 +$8 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Apr 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Apr 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Apr 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Apr 13 $20 +$14 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Apr 13 $20 −$19 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Apr 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Apr 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Apr 12 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Apr 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Apr 12 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Apr 12 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Apr 11 $30 −$28 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Apr 11 $20 +$32 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Apr 11 $20 +$126 +629%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Apr 11 $40 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Apr 11 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Apr 11 $20 +$37 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Apr 11 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Apr 11 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Apr 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Apr 11 $50 +$11 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Apr 11 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Apr 10 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Apr 10 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Apr 10 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Apr 10 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Apr 10 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Apr 10 $40 +$17 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Apr 10 $20 +$6 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 86% +$457
politics 6% +$35
sports 4% +$146
other 2% +$2
crypto 2% +$62
economics 0% +$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Australia 98¢ $600 1h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Australia 95¢ $501 1h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Australia 85¢ $3 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 96¢ $1,001 1h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 99¢ $1,515 7h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 96¢ $36 7h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 96¢ $36 7h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 96¢ $96 7h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 96¢ $24 7h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 96¢ $128 10h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 78¢ $101 10h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 94¢ $94 10h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY 11¢ $2 10h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 29¢ $5 17h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Sw BUY 39¢ $5 17h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 29h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 29h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 29h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 34h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 34h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 62¢ $101 34h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $15 34h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 60¢ $101 34h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND SELL 3¢ $2 34h
Spread: United States (-1.5) AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL 11¢ $1 34h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $5 34h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY 47¢ $5 35h
Spread: United States (-1.5) AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY 45¢ $5 42h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND BUY 14¢ $10 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +8.7% -1.7% 67% 42% -4.3%
≤30d 14 +2.0% -7.7% 64% 43% -4.2%
≤90d 73 +5.4% -4.6% 74% 37% -8.0%
all 168 +4.0% -5.9% 71% 35% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.9% 35% -8.7%
10% -14.9% 30% -17.4%
15% -23.1% 23% -25.4%
20% -30.7% 15% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,041.15 · official $1,096.15 · 472 history records